Vasalunds IF
IFK Stocksund
The model leans Vasalunds IF at 68%. Expected goals: Vasalunds IF 4.17, IFK Stocksund 1.85. Over 2.5 goals 94%, both teams to score 83%. Vasalunds IF won 2 of their last 6; IFK Stocksund won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vasalunds IF | 77% | 1.30 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 11% | 8.83 | – | – | – |
| 2IFK Stocksund | 12% | 8.53 | – | – | – |
Pick: Vasalunds IF. Calibrated probability 68% (raw model output 77%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 89%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 4.17 – 1.85| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% |
| 2.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 85% | 15% |
| Both teams to score | Yes83% | No17% |
Most likely scores
- 4–15.8%
- 3–15.6%
- 4–25.4%
- 3–25.2%
- 5–14.8%
- 5–24.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 73% · BTTS Yes 63%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Vasalunds IF −2| Vasalunds IF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 61% | – | 39% |
| -1 | 61% | 15% | 23% |
| -0.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| 0 | 77% | 11% | 12% |
| +0.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.