Vasalunds IF
Sollentuna FK
The model leans Vasalunds IF at 50%. Expected goals: Vasalunds IF 1.93, Sollentuna FK 1.13. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 59%. Vasalunds IF won 2 of their last 6; Sollentuna FK won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vasalunds IF | 55% | 1.82 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.15 | – | – | – |
| 2Sollentuna FK | 21% | 4.76 | – | – | – |
Pick: Vasalunds IF. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 55%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.93 – 1.13| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% |
| Both teams to score | Yes58% | No42% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–08.7%
- 3–16.3%
- 1–25.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS Yes 54%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Vasalunds IF −1| Vasalunds IF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 33% | – | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 23% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| 0 | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| +0.5 | 78% | – | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.