Vasalunds IF
FC Stockholm
The model leans FC Stockholm at 37%. Expected goals: Vasalunds IF 1.41, FC Stockholm 1.56. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 61%. Vasalunds IF won 2 of their last 6; FC Stockholm won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vasalunds IF | 33% | 2.99 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.76 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Stockholm | 40% | 2.50 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC Stockholm. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 40%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.41 – 1.56| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% |
| Both teams to score | Yes60% | No40% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–18.0%
- 2–18.0%
- 1–07.2%
- 0–26.2%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 52% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Vasalunds IF 0| Vasalunds IF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 16% | – | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| 0 | 35% | 24% | 41% |
| +0.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.