IFK Stocksund
Gefle
The model leans IFK Stocksund at 39%. Expected goals: IFK Stocksund 2.65, Gefle 2.57. Over 2.5 goals 89%, both teams to score 86%. IFK Stocksund won 1 of their last 6; Gefle won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1IFK Stocksund | 42% | 2.38 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 19% | 5.36 | – | – | – |
| 2Gefle | 39% | 2.54 | – | – | – |
Pick: IFK Stocksund. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 81%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.65 – 2.57| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% |
| 2.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 76% | 24% |
| Both teams to score | Yes86% | No14% |
Most likely scores
- 2–26.3%
- 3–25.6%
- 2–35.4%
- 2–14.9%
- 3–34.8%
- 1–24.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 71% · BTTS Yes 63%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: IFK Stocksund 0| IFK Stocksund line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 16% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| 0 | 42% | 18% | 40% |
| +0.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 16% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | – | 24% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.