Assyriska FF
Vasalunds IF
The model leans Vasalunds IF at 50%. Expected goals: Assyriska FF 1.74, Vasalunds IF 2.32. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 75%. Assyriska FF won 5 of their last 6; Vasalunds IF won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Assyriska FF | 28% | 3.52 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.72 | – | – | – |
| 2Vasalunds IF | 50% | 1.98 | – | – | – |
Pick: Vasalunds IF. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 50%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.74 – 2.32| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| Both teams to score | Yes74% | No26% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.1%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–17.0%
- 1–36.3%
- 2–16.1%
- 2–35.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 66% · BTTS Yes 60%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Vasalunds IF −0.5| Assyriska FF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| 0 | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| +0.5 | 49% | – | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 20% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.