PSV Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven
The model leans PSV Eindhoven at 78%. Expected goals: PSV Eindhoven 5.26, FC Eindhoven 0.85. Over 2.5 goals 94%, both teams to score 57%. PSV Eindhoven won 4 of their last 6; FC Eindhoven won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1PSV Eindhoven | 95% | 1.05 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 3% | 30.12 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Eindhoven | 1% | 72.99 | – | – | – |
Pick: PSV Eindhoven. Calibrated probability 78% (raw model output 95%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 99%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 5.26 – 0.85| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% |
| 2.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 85% | 15% |
| Both teams to score | Yes57% | No43% |
Most likely scores
- 5–08.2%
- 4–07.8%
- 6–07.2%
- 5–16.9%
- 4–16.6%
- 6–16.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 73% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: PSV Eindhoven −2| PSV Eindhoven line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
| -1 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| -0.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
| 0 | 95% | 3% | 2% |
| +0.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
| +1 | 98% | 1% | 0% |
| +1.5 | 100% | – | 0% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.