Wolverhampton Wanderers
Racing Santander
The model leans Wolverhampton Wanderers at 36%. Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.58, Racing Santander 1.55. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 64%. Wolverhampton Wanderers won 5 of their last 6; Racing Santander won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38% | 2.64 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.87 | – | – | – |
| 2Racing Santander | 36% | 2.75 | – | – | – |
Pick: Wolverhampton Wanderers. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.58 – 1.55| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% |
| Both teams to score | Yes63% | No37% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.3%
- 1–06.9%
- 0–16.8%
- 2–26.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 55% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Wolverhampton Wanderers 0| Wolverhampton Wanderers line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| 0 | 39% | 24% | 37% |
| +0.5 | 63% | – | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.