Wolverhampton Wanderers
Port Vale
The model leans Wolverhampton Wanderers at 53%. Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.53, Port Vale 0.57. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%. Wolverhampton Wanderers won 5 of their last 6; Port Vale won 0 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wolverhampton Wanderers | 60% | 1.67 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.63 | – | – | – |
| 2Port Vale | 13% | 7.96 | – | – | – |
Pick: Wolverhampton Wanderers. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 60%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 87%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.53 – 0.57| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% |
| Both teams to score | Yes34% | No66% |
Most likely scores
- 1–018.7%
- 2–014.4%
- 0–012.2%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.2%
- 3–07.3%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 58% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Wolverhampton Wanderers −1| Wolverhampton Wanderers line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 33% | – | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 28% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | – | 39% |
| 0 | 61% | 25% | 14% |
| +0.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.