Fujieda MYFC
Iwaki FC
The model leans Iwaki FC at 30%. Expected goals: Fujieda MYFC 0.86, Iwaki FC 0.99. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 62%. Fujieda MYFC won 5 of their last 6; Iwaki FC won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fujieda MYFC | 29% | 3.42 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 35% | 2.86 | – | – | – |
| 2Iwaki FC | 36% | 2.79 | – | – | – |
Pick: Iwaki FC. Calibrated probability 30% (raw model output 36%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 71%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.86 – 0.99| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% |
| Both teams to score | Yes36% | No64% |
Most likely scores
- 0–015.7%
- 0–115.5%
- 1–013.6%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–27.6%
- 1–26.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 59% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Fujieda MYFC 0| Fujieda MYFC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 20% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| 0 | 31% | 32% | 37% |
| +0.5 | 63% | – | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 23% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.