Renofa Yamaguchi
Fujieda MYFC
The model leans Renofa Yamaguchi at 37%. Expected goals: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.18, Fujieda MYFC 1.00. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 55%. Renofa Yamaguchi won 1 of their last 6; Fujieda MYFC won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Renofa Yamaguchi | 38% | 2.60 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | – | – | – |
| 2Fujieda MYFC | 30% | 3.37 | – | – | – |
Pick: Renofa Yamaguchi. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 70%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.18 – 1.00| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% |
| Both teams to score | Yes44% | No56% |
Most likely scores
- 1–113.3%
- 1–013.3%
- 0–111.4%
- 0–011.3%
- 2–17.8%
- 2–07.8%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 56% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Renofa Yamaguchi 0| Renofa Yamaguchi line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 23% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| 0 | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| +0.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.