Iwaki FC
FC Imabari
The model leans Iwaki FC at 51%. Expected goals: Iwaki FC 1.39, FC Imabari 0.55. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 67%. Iwaki FC won 2 of their last 6; FC Imabari won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Iwaki FC | 57% | 1.77 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.35 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Imabari | 14% | 7.35 | – | – | – |
Pick: Iwaki FC. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 57%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 86%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.39 – 0.55| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% |
| Both teams to score | Yes32% | No68% |
Most likely scores
- 1–019.9%
- 0–014.3%
- 2–013.9%
- 1–111.0%
- 0–17.9%
- 2–17.7%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 59% · BTTS No 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Iwaki FC −1| Iwaki FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 29% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
| 0 | 58% | 28% | 15% |
| +0.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 11% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.