Predictions · League Cup · outside model coverage

Zweigen Kanazawa

21
Won

FC Imabari

The model leans Zweigen Kanazawa at 36%. Expected goals: Zweigen Kanazawa 0.98, FC Imabari 0.78. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 65%. Zweigen Kanazawa won 3 of their last 6; FC Imabari won 1 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Zweigen Kanazawa38%2.66
XDraw36%2.79
2FC Imabari27%3.75

Pick: Zweigen Kanazawa. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 73%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 0.98 – 0.78
LineOverUnder
1.552%48%
2.526%74%
3.510%90%
Both teams to scoreYes34%No66%

Most likely scores

  • 0017.3%
  • 1016.9%
  • 0113.5%
  • 1113.1%
  • 208.2%
  • 216.4%

Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 60% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Zweigen Kanazawa 0
Zweigen Kanazawa lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.515%85%
-115%24%61%
-0.539%61%
039%33%28%
+0.572%28%
+172%19%9%
+1.591%9%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.