Zweigen Kanazawa
Fukushima United
The model leans Zweigen Kanazawa at 38%. Expected goals: Zweigen Kanazawa 1.49, Fukushima United 1.30. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 58%. Zweigen Kanazawa won 3 of their last 6; Fukushima United won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Zweigen Kanazawa | 40% | 2.47 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.62 | – | – | – |
| 2Fukushima United | 32% | 3.13 | – | – | – |
Pick: Zweigen Kanazawa. Calibrated probability 38% (raw model output 40%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 72%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.49 – 1.30| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% |
| Both teams to score | Yes56% | No44% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–06.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 49% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Zweigen Kanazawa 0| Zweigen Kanazawa line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 20% | – | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 21% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| 0 | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| +0.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.