Yokohama F.Marinos
Fukushima United
The model leans Yokohama F.Marinos at 71%. Expected goals: Yokohama F.Marinos 3.63, Fukushima United 0.94. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 59%. Yokohama F.Marinos won 3 of their last 6; Fukushima United won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Yokohama F.Marinos | 85% | 1.17 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 10% | 10.31 | – | – | – |
| 2Fukushima United | 5% | 19.38 | – | – | – |
Pick: Yokohama F.Marinos. Calibrated probability 71% (raw model output 85%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 95%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.63 – 0.94| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% |
| Both teams to score | Yes59% | No41% |
Most likely scores
- 3–08.4%
- 3–17.9%
- 4–07.6%
- 4–17.1%
- 2–06.9%
- 2–16.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Yokohama F.Marinos −2| Yokohama F.Marinos line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
| -1 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| -0.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
| 0 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +0.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.