Gainare Tottori
Fukushima United
The model leans Gainare Tottori at 43%. Expected goals: Gainare Tottori 1.93, Fukushima United 1.50. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 67%. Gainare Tottori won 4 of their last 6; Fukushima United won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Gainare Tottori | 47% | 2.14 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.18 | – | – | – |
| 2Fukushima United | 29% | 3.42 | – | – | – |
Pick: Gainare Tottori. Calibrated probability 43% (raw model output 47%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.93 – 1.50| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| Both teams to score | Yes66% | No34% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.3%
- 2–06.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Gainare Tottori −0.5| Gainare Tottori line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | – | 52% |
| 0 | 48% | 22% | 30% |
| +0.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.