Gainare Tottori
FC Osaka
The model leans Gainare Tottori at 37%. Expected goals: Gainare Tottori 1.11, FC Osaka 0.87. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 60%. Gainare Tottori won 4 of their last 6; FC Osaka won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Gainare Tottori | 39% | 2.53 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 33% | 2.99 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Osaka | 27% | 3.69 | – | – | – |
Pick: Gainare Tottori. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 39%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.11 – 0.87| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% |
| Both teams to score | Yes39% | No61% |
Most likely scores
- 1–015.3%
- 0–013.8%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–112.0%
- 2–08.5%
- 2–17.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 59% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Gainare Tottori 0| Gainare Tottori line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 24% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | – | 59% |
| 0 | 41% | 31% | 28% |
| +0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 19% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.