Urawa Red Diamonds
Yokohama F.Marinos
The model leans Urawa Red Diamonds at 41%. Expected goals: Urawa Red Diamonds 1.45, Yokohama F.Marinos 1.06. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 51%. Urawa Red Diamonds won 2 of their last 6; Yokohama F.Marinos won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Urawa Red Diamonds | 45% | 2.23 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.47 | – | – | – |
| 2Yokohama F.Marinos | 26% | 3.81 | – | – | – |
Pick: Urawa Red Diamonds. Calibrated probability 41% (raw model output 45%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.45 – 1.06| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% |
| Both teams to score | Yes50% | No50% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.8%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–08.2%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Urawa Red Diamonds −0.5| Urawa Red Diamonds line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 23% | – | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 24% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | – | 54% |
| 0 | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| +0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.