Predictions · J. League 3 · outside model coverage

Zweigen Kanazawa

01
Lost

Ehime FC

The model leans Zweigen Kanazawa at 29%. Expected goals: Zweigen Kanazawa 1.03, Ehime FC 0.95. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 59%. Zweigen Kanazawa won 3 of their last 6; Ehime FC won 4 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Zweigen Kanazawa35%2.83
XDraw34%2.97
2Ehime FC31%3.22

Pick: Zweigen Kanazawa. Calibrated probability 29% (raw model output 35%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 69%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.03 – 0.95
LineOverUnder
1.559%41%
2.532%68%
3.514%86%
Both teams to scoreYes40%No60%

Most likely scores

  • 1014.2%
  • 0013.7%
  • 1113.5%
  • 0113.1%
  • 207.3%
  • 217.0%

Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 59% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Zweigen Kanazawa 0
Zweigen Kanazawa lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.514%86%
-114%22%63%
-0.537%63%
037%31%32%
+0.568%32%
+168%21%12%
+1.588%12%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.