FC Imabari
Blaublitz Akita
The model leans Blaublitz Akita at 40%. Expected goals: FC Imabari 0.63, Blaublitz Akita 1.03. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 69%. FC Imabari won 1 of their last 6; Blaublitz Akita won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Imabari | 21% | 4.82 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 36% | 2.78 | – | – | – |
| 2Blaublitz Akita | 43% | 2.31 | – | – | – |
Pick: Blaublitz Akita. Calibrated probability 40% (raw model output 43%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.63 – 1.03| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% |
| Both teams to score | Yes30% | No70% |
Most likely scores
- 0–119.6%
- 0–019.1%
- 1–112.3%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–210.1%
- 1–26.3%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 65% · BTTS No 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Blaublitz Akita −0.5| FC Imabari line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 16% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| 0 | 22% | 34% | 44% |
| +0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 27% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.