Blaublitz Akita
Ventforet Kofu
The model leans Blaublitz Akita at 38%. Expected goals: Blaublitz Akita 0.91, Ventforet Kofu 0.59. Over 2.5 goals 81%, both teams to score 72%. Blaublitz Akita won 1 of their last 6; Ventforet Kofu won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Blaublitz Akita | 40% | 2.49 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.61 | – | – | – |
| 2Ventforet Kofu | 22% | 4.64 | – | – | – |
Pick: Blaublitz Akita. Calibrated probability 38% (raw model output 40%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.91 – 0.59| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 81% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% |
| Both teams to score | Yes27% | No73% |
Most likely scores
- 0–022.1%
- 1–020.2%
- 0–113.1%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–09.2%
- 2–15.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 69% · BTTS No 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Blaublitz Akita −0.5| Blaublitz Akita line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 15% | – | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 26% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | – | 59% |
| 0 | 41% | 36% | 23% |
| +0.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 17% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.