Predictions · J. League 2 · outside model coverage

Vanraure Hachinohe

10
Lost

Blaublitz Akita

The model leans Draw at 40%. Expected goals: Vanraure Hachinohe 0.59, Blaublitz Akita 0.66. Over 2.5 goals 87%, both teams to score 77%. Vanraure Hachinohe won 2 of their last 6; Blaublitz Akita won 1 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Vanraure Hachinohe26%3.79
XDraw43%2.32
2Blaublitz Akita30%3.28

Pick: Draw. Calibrated probability 40% (raw model output 43%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 74%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 0.59 – 0.66
LineOverUnder
1.536%64%
2.513%87%
3.54%96%
Both teams to scoreYes22%No78%

Most likely scores

  • 0028.5%
  • 0118.8%
  • 1017.0%
  • 1111.2%
  • 026.2%
  • 205.0%

Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 70% · BTTS No 62%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Vanraure Hachinohe 0
Vanraure Hachinohe lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.57%93%
-17%20%72%
-0.528%72%
028%41%32%
+0.568%32%
+168%23%9%
+1.591%9%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.