Vanraure Hachinohe
Vegalta Sendai
The model leans Draw at 37%. Expected goals: Vanraure Hachinohe 0.58, Vegalta Sendai 0.86. Over 2.5 goals 82%, both teams to score 73%. Vanraure Hachinohe won 2 of their last 6; Vegalta Sendai won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vanraure Hachinohe | 22% | 4.55 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 39% | 2.54 | – | – | – |
| 2Vegalta Sendai | 39% | 2.58 | – | – | – |
Pick: Draw. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 39%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.58 – 0.86| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% |
| Both teams to score | Yes25% | No75% |
Most likely scores
- 0–023.6%
- 0–120.4%
- 1–013.7%
- 1–111.8%
- 0–28.8%
- 1–25.1%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 69% · BTTS No 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Vanraure Hachinohe 0| Vanraure Hachinohe line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 17% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | – | 77% |
| 0 | 23% | 37% | 40% |
| +0.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 26% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.