Utsiktens BK
Häcken
The model leans Häcken at 74%. Expected goals: Utsiktens BK 0.70, Häcken 3.59. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 51%. Utsiktens BK won 0 of their last 6; Häcken won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Utsiktens BK | 3% | 30.12 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 8% | 11.93 | – | – | – |
| 2Häcken | 88% | 1.13 | – | – | – |
Pick: Häcken. Calibrated probability 74% (raw model output 88%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 97%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.70 – 3.59| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% |
| Both teams to score | Yes49% | No51% |
Most likely scores
- 0–310.7%
- 0–49.6%
- 0–29.0%
- 1–37.5%
- 0–56.9%
- 1–46.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS No 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Häcken −2| Utsiktens BK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1% | – | 99% |
| -1 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -0.5 | 4% | – | 96% |
| 0 | 4% | 8% | 89% |
| +0.5 | 11% | – | 89% |
| +1 | 11% | 14% | 74% |
| +1.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.