Utsiktens BK
Hässleholms IF
The model leans Hässleholms IF at 61%. Expected goals: Utsiktens BK 0.95, Hässleholms IF 2.48. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 57%. Utsiktens BK won 0 of their last 6; Hässleholms IF won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Utsiktens BK | 12% | 8.51 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 18% | 5.47 | – | – | – |
| 2Hässleholms IF | 70% | 1.43 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hässleholms IF. Calibrated probability 61% (raw model output 70%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 88%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.95 – 2.48| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| Both teams to score | Yes56% | No44% |
Most likely scores
- 0–210.0%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–38.2%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–37.8%
- 1–17.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hässleholms IF −1.5| Utsiktens BK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 4% | – | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| 0 | 13% | 17% | 71% |
| +0.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| +1 | 29% | 22% | 49% |
| +1.5 | 51% | – | 49% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.