Predictions · Cup · outside model coverage

Hässleholms IF

01
Lost

Landskrona BoIS

The model leans Hässleholms IF at 44%. Expected goals: Hässleholms IF 1.58, Landskrona BoIS 1.11. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%. Hässleholms IF won 5 of their last 6; Landskrona BoIS won 2 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Hässleholms IF47%2.12
XDraw27%3.64
2Landskrona BoIS25%3.93

Pick: Hässleholms IF. Calibrated probability 44% (raw model output 47%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 75%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.58 – 1.11
LineOverUnder
1.575%25%
2.550%50%
3.528%72%
Both teams to scoreYes53%No47%

Most likely scores

  • 1111.9%
  • 1010.8%
  • 219.4%
  • 208.5%
  • 017.5%
  • 006.8%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 37% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Hässleholms IF −0.5
Hässleholms IF lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.525%75%
-125%23%52%
-0.548%52%
048%25%27%
+0.573%27%
+173%16%10%
+1.590%10%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.