Hässleholms IF
Laholms FK
The model leans Hässleholms IF at 70%. Expected goals: Hässleholms IF 3.45, Laholms FK 1.00. Over 2.5 goals 82%, both teams to score 62%. Hässleholms IF won 5 of their last 6; Laholms FK won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hässleholms IF | 82% | 1.22 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 11% | 8.96 | – | – | – |
| 2Laholms FK | 7% | 15.29 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hässleholms IF. Calibrated probability 70% (raw model output 82%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 93%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.45 – 1.00| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% |
| Both teams to score | Yes61% | No39% |
Most likely scores
- 3–18.1%
- 3–08.0%
- 2–17.0%
- 2–07.0%
- 4–17.0%
- 4–06.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hässleholms IF −2| Hässleholms IF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| -1 | 66% | 17% | 17% |
| -0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| 0 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +0.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.