Laholms FK
Trollhättan FC
The model leans Trollhättan FC at 50%. Expected goals: Laholms FK 1.95, Trollhättan FC 2.69. Over 2.5 goals 84%, both teams to score 80%. Laholms FK won 2 of their last 6; Trollhättan FC won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Laholms FK | 27% | 3.66 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 19% | 5.22 | – | – | – |
| 2Trollhättan FC | 54% | 1.87 | – | – | – |
Pick: Trollhättan FC. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 54%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 81%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.95 – 2.69| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% |
| Both teams to score | Yes80% | No20% |
Most likely scores
- 1–26.9%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–36.1%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–15.1%
- 2–15.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 63%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Trollhättan FC −0.5| Laholms FK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| 0 | 28% | 18% | 54% |
| +0.5 | 46% | – | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 19% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | – | 35% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.