Trollhättan FC
Trelleborgs FF
The model leans Trelleborgs FF at 42%. Expected goals: Trollhättan FC 1.79, Trelleborgs FF 2.12. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 74%. Trollhättan FC won 3 of their last 6; Trelleborgs FF won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Trollhättan FC | 32% | 3.08 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.50 | – | – | – |
| 2Trelleborgs FF | 45% | 2.21 | – | – | – |
Pick: Trelleborgs FF. Calibrated probability 42% (raw model output 45%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.79 – 2.12| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% |
| Both teams to score | Yes73% | No27% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.1%
- 1–17.6%
- 2–27.2%
- 2–16.8%
- 1–35.7%
- 2–35.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 61% · BTTS Yes 60%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Trelleborgs FF −0.5| Trollhättan FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 16% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | – | 67% |
| 0 | 33% | 21% | 46% |
| +0.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 19% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.