Trelleborgs FF
Utsiktens BK
The model leans Trelleborgs FF at 68%. Expected goals: Trelleborgs FF 2.97, Utsiktens BK 0.89. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 56%. Trelleborgs FF won 2 of their last 6; Utsiktens BK won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Trelleborgs FF | 79% | 1.27 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 14% | 7.28 | – | – | – |
| 2Utsiktens BK | 8% | 13.19 | – | – | – |
Pick: Trelleborgs FF. Calibrated probability 68% (raw model output 79%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 92%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.97 – 0.89| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| Both teams to score | Yes56% | No44% |
Most likely scores
- 2–09.3%
- 3–09.2%
- 2–18.3%
- 3–18.2%
- 4–06.9%
- 1–06.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Trelleborgs FF −2| Trelleborgs FF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
| -1 | 60% | 19% | 21% |
| -0.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
| 0 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +0.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.