FC Rosengård
Utsiktens BK
The model leans FC Rosengård at 52%. Expected goals: FC Rosengård 1.99, Utsiktens BK 1.02. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 56%. FC Rosengård won 2 of their last 6; Utsiktens BK won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Rosengård | 59% | 1.70 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.29 | – | – | – |
| 2Utsiktens BK | 18% | 5.65 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC Rosengård. Calibrated probability 52% (raw model output 59%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 82%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.99 – 1.02| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% |
| Both teams to score | Yes55% | No45% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.0%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–09.8%
- 3–16.6%
- 3–06.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 53% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC Rosengård −1| FC Rosengård line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 24% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
| 0 | 60% | 21% | 19% |
| +0.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.