Utsiktens BK
FC Rosengård
The model leans FC Rosengård at 42%. Expected goals: Utsiktens BK 1.24, FC Rosengård 1.63. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%. Utsiktens BK won 0 of their last 6; FC Rosengård won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Utsiktens BK | 28% | 3.58 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.75 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Rosengård | 45% | 2.20 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC Rosengård. Calibrated probability 42% (raw model output 45%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.24 – 1.63| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% |
| Both teams to score | Yes57% | No43% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.5%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–27.5%
- 2–17.1%
- 1–07.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC Rosengård −0.5| Utsiktens BK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| 0 | 29% | 24% | 47% |
| +0.5 | 53% | – | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 22% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | – | 24% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.