Utsiktens BK
Eskilsminne IF
The model leans Eskilsminne IF at 51%. Expected goals: Utsiktens BK 1.54, Eskilsminne IF 2.41. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 72%. Utsiktens BK won 0 of their last 6; Eskilsminne IF won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Utsiktens BK | 23% | 4.32 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.85 | – | – | – |
| 2Eskilsminne IF | 56% | 1.78 | – | – | – |
Pick: Eskilsminne IF. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 56%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.54 – 2.41| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% |
| Both teams to score | Yes71% | No29% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.6%
- 1–17.2%
- 1–36.9%
- 2–26.6%
- 0–25.6%
- 2–15.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 61% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Eskilsminne IF −1| Utsiktens BK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 11% | – | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| 0 | 24% | 19% | 57% |
| +0.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 21% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | – | 36% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.