Eskilsminne IF
Kristianstad FC
The model leans Eskilsminne IF at 51%. Expected goals: Eskilsminne IF 2.41, Kristianstad FC 1.46. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 71%. Eskilsminne IF won 2 of their last 6; Kristianstad FC won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Eskilsminne IF | 58% | 1.73 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.87 | – | – | – |
| 2Kristianstad FC | 22% | 4.59 | – | – | – |
Pick: Eskilsminne IF. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 58%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.41 – 1.46| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| Both teams to score | Yes70% | No30% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.8%
- 1–17.3%
- 3–17.1%
- 2–26.5%
- 2–06.0%
- 1–25.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Eskilsminne IF −1| Eskilsminne IF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 21% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
| 0 | 58% | 19% | 23% |
| +0.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.