Kristianstad FC
Ängelholms FF
The model leans Ängelholms FF at 37%. Expected goals: Kristianstad FC 1.45, Ängelholms FF 1.59. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 62%. Kristianstad FC won 2 of their last 6; Ängelholms FF won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kristianstad FC | 34% | 2.95 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.81 | – | – | – |
| 2Ängelholms FF | 40% | 2.52 | – | – | – |
Pick: Ängelholms FF. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 40%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.45 – 1.59| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% |
| Both teams to score | Yes61% | No39% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.0%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–18.0%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–26.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Kristianstad FC 0| Kristianstad FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 16% | – | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| 0 | 35% | 24% | 41% |
| +0.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 20% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.