Ängelholms FF
Kalmar FF
The model leans Kalmar FF at 50%. Expected goals: Ängelholms FF 1.03, Kalmar FF 1.81. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 55%. Ängelholms FF won 0 of their last 6; Kalmar FF won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ängelholms FF | 20% | 4.95 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 3.98 | – | – | – |
| 2Kalmar FF | 55% | 1.83 | – | – | – |
Pick: Kalmar FF. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 55%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 80%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.03 – 1.81| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.9%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.6%
- 1–06.0%
- 1–36.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Kalmar FF −0.5| Ängelholms FF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 8% | – | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | – | 79% |
| 0 | 21% | 23% | 56% |
| +0.5 | 44% | – | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.