Ängelholms FF
Jönköping S.
The model leans Jönköping S. at 37%. Expected goals: Ängelholms FF 1.11, Jönköping S. 1.31. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 50%. Ängelholms FF won 0 of their last 6; Jönköping S. won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ängelholms FF | 30% | 3.30 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.34 | – | – | – |
| 2Jönköping S. | 40% | 2.52 | – | – | – |
Pick: Jönköping S.. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 40%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 70%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.11 – 1.31| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% |
| Both teams to score | Yes49% | No51% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.9%
- 0–111.6%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–08.9%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–27.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Ängelholms FF 0| Ängelholms FF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| 0 | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| +0.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.