Kristianstad FC
Åtvidaberg
The model leans Åtvidaberg at 50%. Expected goals: Kristianstad FC 1.29, Åtvidaberg 1.96. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 63%. Kristianstad FC won 2 of their last 6; Åtvidaberg won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kristianstad FC | 24% | 4.13 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.18 | – | – | – |
| 2Åtvidaberg | 52% | 1.93 | – | – | – |
Pick: Åtvidaberg. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 52%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.29 – 1.96| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% |
| Both teams to score | Yes62% | No38% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.8%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–17.6%
- 0–27.4%
- 2–16.3%
- 1–36.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 56% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Åtvidaberg −0.5| Kristianstad FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 11% | – | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 15% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | – | 75% |
| 0 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| +0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 22% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.