Åtvidaberg
Skövde AIK
The model leans Åtvidaberg at 54%. Expected goals: Åtvidaberg 1.87, Skövde AIK 0.80. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 52%. Åtvidaberg won 3 of their last 6; Skövde AIK won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Åtvidaberg | 62% | 1.62 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.18 | – | – | – |
| 2Skövde AIK | 14% | 6.93 | – | – | – |
Pick: Åtvidaberg. Calibrated probability 54% (raw model output 62%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 86%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.87 – 0.80| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% |
| Both teams to score | Yes47% | No53% |
Most likely scores
- 1–012.9%
- 2–012.1%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.7%
- 3–07.5%
- 0–06.9%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 13% · BTTS No 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Åtvidaberg −1| Åtvidaberg line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 37% | – | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 25% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | – | 37% |
| 0 | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| +0.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.