Eskilsminne IF
Örgryte
The model leans Örgryte at 39%. Expected goals: Eskilsminne IF 1.86, Örgryte 2.01. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 74%. Eskilsminne IF won 2 of their last 6; Örgryte won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Eskilsminne IF | 36% | 2.79 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.42 | – | – | – |
| 2Örgryte | 42% | 2.41 | – | – | – |
Pick: Örgryte. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.86 – 2.01| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| Both teams to score | Yes73% | No27% |
Most likely scores
- 1–27.8%
- 1–17.8%
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.3%
- 1–35.2%
- 2–34.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS Yes 60%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Eskilsminne IF 0| Eskilsminne IF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | – | 63% |
| 0 | 37% | 21% | 42% |
| +0.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | – | 24% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.