Eskilsminne IF
Hässleholms IF
The model leans Hässleholms IF at 50%. Expected goals: Eskilsminne IF 1.61, Hässleholms IF 2.19. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 72%. Eskilsminne IF won 2 of their last 6; Hässleholms IF won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Eskilsminne IF | 28% | 3.62 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.53 | – | – | – |
| 2Hässleholms IF | 50% | 1.99 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hässleholms IF. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 50%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.61 – 2.19| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| Both teams to score | Yes71% | No29% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.6%
- 1–17.9%
- 2–27.0%
- 2–16.4%
- 1–36.3%
- 0–25.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hässleholms IF −0.5| Eskilsminne IF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| 0 | 28% | 21% | 51% |
| +0.5 | 49% | – | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 20% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.