Trollhättan FC
Laholms FK
The model leans Trollhättan FC at 61%. Expected goals: Trollhättan FC 3.28, Laholms FK 1.60. Over 2.5 goals 86%, both teams to score 77%. Trollhättan FC won 3 of their last 6; Laholms FK won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Trollhättan FC | 70% | 1.43 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 15% | 6.63 | – | – | – |
| 2Laholms FK | 15% | 6.63 | – | – | – |
Pick: Trollhättan FC. Calibrated probability 61% (raw model output 70%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 85%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.28 – 1.60| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% |
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 71% | 29% |
| Both teams to score | Yes77% | No23% |
Most likely scores
- 3–17.2%
- 2–16.6%
- 4–15.9%
- 3–25.8%
- 2–25.3%
- 4–24.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 70% · BTTS Yes 62%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Trollhättan FC −1.5| Trollhättan FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 52% | – | 48% |
| -1 | 52% | 18% | 30% |
| -0.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
| 0 | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| +0.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.