Laholms FK
Hässleholms IF
The model leans Hässleholms IF at 61%. Expected goals: Laholms FK 1.22, Hässleholms IF 2.83. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 67%. Laholms FK won 2 of their last 6; Hässleholms IF won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Laholms FK | 13% | 7.54 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 17% | 6.00 | – | – | – |
| 2Hässleholms IF | 70% | 1.43 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hässleholms IF. Calibrated probability 61% (raw model output 70%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 87%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.22 – 2.83| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| Both teams to score | Yes66% | No34% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.5%
- 1–38.0%
- 0–27.0%
- 0–36.6%
- 1–16.0%
- 1–45.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 65% · BTTS Yes 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hässleholms IF −1.5| Laholms FK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5% | – | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| 0 | 14% | 16% | 71% |
| +0.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| +1 | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| +1.5 | 49% | – | 51% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.