Predictions · Superettan · outside model coverage

Östers IF

01
Lost

Landskrona BoIS

The model leans Östers IF at 38%. Expected goals: Östers IF 1.45, Landskrona BoIS 1.26. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 56%. Östers IF won 3 of their last 6; Landskrona BoIS won 2 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Östers IF40%2.48
XDraw28%3.56
2Landskrona BoIS32%3.17

Pick: Östers IF. Calibrated probability 38% (raw model output 40%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 72%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.45 – 1.26
LineOverUnder
1.575%25%
2.551%49%
3.529%71%
Both teams to scoreYes55%No45%

Most likely scores

  • 1112.2%
  • 109.7%
  • 218.8%
  • 018.4%
  • 127.6%
  • 207.0%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 41% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Östers IF 0
Östers IF lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.520%80%
-120%22%58%
-0.542%58%
042%26%33%
+0.567%33%
+167%19%14%
+1.586%14%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.