Predictions · Superettan · outside model coverage

Sandvikens IF

11
Lost

Östers IF

The model leans Sandvikens IF at 41%. Expected goals: Sandvikens IF 1.56, Östers IF 1.21. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 57%. Sandvikens IF won 3 of their last 6; Östers IF won 3 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Sandvikens IF44%2.26
XDraw27%3.66
2Östers IF28%3.53

Pick: Sandvikens IF. Calibrated probability 41% (raw model output 44%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.56 – 1.21
LineOverUnder
1.576%24%
2.552%48%
3.530%70%
Both teams to scoreYes55%No45%

Most likely scores

  • 1111.8%
  • 109.8%
  • 219.2%
  • 207.6%
  • 017.6%
  • 127.2%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 49% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Sandvikens IF −0.5
Sandvikens IF lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.523%77%
-123%22%55%
-0.545%55%
045%25%30%
+0.570%30%
+170%17%12%
+1.588%12%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.