Sandvikens IF
IFK Norrköping
The model leans IFK Norrköping at 40%. Expected goals: Sandvikens IF 1.04, IFK Norrköping 1.39. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 50%. Sandvikens IF won 3 of their last 6; IFK Norrköping won 6 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sandvikens IF | 27% | 3.73 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.39 | – | – | – |
| 2IFK Norrköping | 44% | 2.29 | – | – | – |
Pick: IFK Norrköping. Calibrated probability 40% (raw model output 44%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.04 – 1.39| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% |
| Both teams to score | Yes48% | No52% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.7%
- 0–112.3%
- 1–09.2%
- 0–08.9%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–28.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 51% · BTTS No 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: IFK Norrköping −0.5| Sandvikens IF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 11% | – | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 18% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| 0 | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| +0.5 | 55% | – | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.