Nordic United FC
IFK Norrköping
The model leans Nordic United FC at 38%. Expected goals: Nordic United FC 1.61, IFK Norrköping 1.45. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 62%. Nordic United FC won 1 of their last 6; IFK Norrköping won 6 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nordic United FC | 41% | 2.47 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.83 | – | – | – |
| 2IFK Norrköping | 33% | 3.00 | – | – | – |
Pick: Nordic United FC. Calibrated probability 38% (raw model output 41%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.61 – 1.45| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% |
| Both teams to score | Yes61% | No39% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.9%
- 1–07.6%
- 0–16.8%
- 2–26.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Nordic United FC 0| Nordic United FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 21% | – | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 21% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| 0 | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.