Helsingborg
Nordic United FC
The model leans Nordic United FC at 38%. Expected goals: Helsingborg 1.94, Nordic United FC 2.06. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 75%. Helsingborg won 0 of their last 6; Nordic United FC won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Helsingborg | 37% | 2.73 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.51 | – | – | – |
| 2Nordic United FC | 41% | 2.42 | – | – | – |
Pick: Nordic United FC. Calibrated probability 38% (raw model output 41%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.94 – 2.06| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| Both teams to score | Yes75% | No25% |
Most likely scores
- 1–27.6%
- 1–17.3%
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.1%
- 1–35.2%
- 2–35.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 61% · BTTS Yes 60%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Helsingborg 0| Helsingborg line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 20% | – | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | – | 63% |
| 0 | 37% | 21% | 42% |
| +0.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 18% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | – | 24% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.