Nordic United FC
Ljungskile
The model leans Nordic United FC at 43%. Expected goals: Nordic United FC 1.95, Ljungskile 1.54. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%. Nordic United FC won 1 of their last 6; Ljungskile won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nordic United FC | 47% | 2.15 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.22 | – | – | – |
| 2Ljungskile | 30% | 3.36 | – | – | – |
Pick: Nordic United FC. Calibrated probability 43% (raw model output 47%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.95 – 1.54| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% |
| Both teams to score | Yes67% | No33% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.2%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.0%
- 3–15.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Nordic United FC −0.5| Nordic United FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 21% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| 0 | 47% | 22% | 31% |
| +0.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.