Predictions · Cup · outside model coverage
IK Franke
0–1
Won
Ljungskile
The model leans Ljungskile at 78%. Expected goals: IK Franke 0.98, Ljungskile 6.00. Over 2.5 goals 97%, both teams to score 62%.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match97
| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1IK Franke | 1% | 92.59 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 2% | 41.32 | – | – | – |
| 2Ljungskile | 97% | 1.04 | – | – | – |
Pick: Ljungskile. Calibrated probability 78% (raw model output 97%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 99%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.98 – 6.00| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 99% | 1% |
| 2.5 | 96% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 90% | 10% |
| Both teams to score | Yes62% | No38% |
Most likely scores
- 0–57.1%
- 0–67.1%
- 1–57.0%
- 1–67.0%
- 0–76.1%
- 1–76.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 73% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Ljungskile −2| IK Franke line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 0% | – | 100% |
| -1 | 0% | 1% | 99% |
| -0.5 | 1% | – | 99% |
| 0 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| +0.5 | 4% | – | 96% |
| +1 | 4% | 6% | 90% |
| +1.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.