Ljungskile
Östers IF
The model leans Ljungskile at 51%. Expected goals: Ljungskile 2.10, Östers IF 1.14. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 61%. Ljungskile won 1 of their last 6; Östers IF won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ljungskile | 59% | 1.71 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.45 | – | – | – |
| 2Östers IF | 19% | 5.29 | – | – | – |
Pick: Ljungskile. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 59%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 81%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.10 – 1.14| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% |
| Both teams to score | Yes60% | No40% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.4%
- 2–08.7%
- 1–08.2%
- 3–16.9%
- 3–06.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 56% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Ljungskile −1| Ljungskile line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 37% | – | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 23% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
| 0 | 60% | 21% | 20% |
| +0.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.